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Showing 1 - 25 of 36 results
Publication created on 02/29/2024 - 12:36 by in NESA
Iran’s Gray Zone Strategy
Iran is running the world’s most effective gray zone campaign and hardly anyone has noticed. By combining a punishment strategy covered in plausible deniability with an influence strategy under the threshold of conflict, Iran is quietly reclaiming its place as the...... Read more...
Publication created on 02/21/2024 - 13:52 by in NESA
Overview:
In 2014, Houthi rebels overtook Sanaa, the capital of Yemen, in a push for increased military and political power, starting Yemen’s long-lasting civil war. The chaos created by the Houthi insurgents jeopardized the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s (KSA) ambition for stability in the region... Read more...
Publication created on 02/21/2024 - 11:58 by in NESA
Overview:
Shaped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution, the Iranian political landscape uniquely blends democratic and theocratic elements. The 12th parliamentary elections, the 6th Assembly of Experts elections on March 1, 2024, and the presidential elections in 2025 are playing pivotal roles in the... Read more...
Publication created on 02/05/2024 - 10:51 by in NESA
Overview:
The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 October has affected not only the political and security dynamics in the ME region but also the world at large. This attack being executed simultaneously in multiple domains i.e. air, land, and sea, culminating with ‘mass hostage captivity,’ can be...... Read more...
Publication created on 01/23/2024 - 10:34 by in NESA
Overview:
Years of political instability in combination with an ongoing economic crisis — exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the explosion in the Port of Beirut in August 2020 — have brought the country close to collapse. Moreover, the current institutional vacuum (with no president and... Read more...
Publication created on 12/18/2023 - 11:17 by in NESA
On 16 December 2023, L'Expression published NESA Center alum Dr. Arslan Chikhaoui's article, "Les enjeux stratégiques issus de la COP 28" (in French).
"Tous s’accordent sur une réduction progressive à un horizon au-delà de 2040, sauf en ce qui concerne le gaz naturel qui est pour le... Read more...
Publication created on 11/15/2023 - 11:02 by in NESA
On 14 November 2023, The Diplomat published NESA Center alumna Shanthie Mariet D'Souza's article "An Iranian Reversal on Afghan Refugees."
"The difference between the deportation policies targeting Afghans in both Pakistan and Iran is the noise surrounding these efforts," writes... Read more...
Publication created on 10/04/2023 - 10:51 by in NESA
Subject: Is CENTCOM Prescribing the ‘Suitable Medicine’ to Deter Iran?
Purpose: To present CSAG analysis of the recent deployment of additional US troops and assets in the Middle East (ME) to deter Iran, within the context of the current strategic and operational environment, and to draw pertinent... Read more...
Publication created on 09/22/2023 - 12:50 by in NESA
Subject: Deir ez-Zor: Critical Juncture in the Process Towards Syria’s Normalization
Purpose: To present CSAG’s analysis of the strategic significance of Deir ez-Zor in shaping the future of Syria. It reveals the growing interest of various actors operating in the region and their efforts to... Read more...
Publication created on 09/22/2023 - 12:27 by in NESA
Subject: Chinese-brokered Iran-KSA Détente, “A Game-Changer or a Mirage?”
Purpose: To present CSAG’s analysis of the recent rapprochement between Iran and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) brokered by China.
Introduction: The recent diplomatic agreement between Iran and KSA in March 2023 is a... Read more...
Publication created on 09/07/2023 - 15:29 by in NESA
The RAND Corporation recently published a research report titled "The Rise of Generative AI and the Coming Era of Social Media Manipulation 3.0: Next-Generation Chinese Astroturfing and Coping with Ubiquitous AI."
The authors argue that U.S. adversaries can use generative AI for social... Read more...
Publication created on 08/11/2023 - 11:50 by in NESA
On 26 April 2023, Azure Strategy published NESA Center Professor David Des Roches's Op-Ed "Saudi-Iran Rapprochement: A contrarian view" on what the Beijing-brokered Saudi-Iran agreement reveals about the Middle East roles of the U.S. and China.
"The resumption of Saudi-Iran diplomatic... Read more...
Publication created on 08/09/2023 - 17:07 by in NESA
Subject: The Quran Desecration and its Implications – Perspectives of Partners
Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding the current incidents of Quran burning, why it matters, possible reasons, its implications, and the perspective of partners.
Read the full paper... Read more...
Publication created on 07/26/2023 - 10:52 by in NESA
On 20 July 2023, Mantraya published NESA Center alumna Shanthie Mariet D'Souza's co-authored analysis on "Pakistan's deepening woes in Balochistan."
"Pakistan is facing an uphill task in Balochistan. The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is expanding its influence into the restive province and... Read more...
Publication created on 07/21/2023 - 10:12 by in NESA
Subject: Pirates of the Middle East Gulfs
Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding how Iran is using a calculated provocative approach, to enhance their bargaining power by creating leverage during negotiations, to achieve what is in Iran’s best interest.
Read the full... Read more...
Publication created on 07/03/2023 - 15:39 by in NESA
Overview:
Armed conflicts, across human history, brought unquantifiable loss of fortune, lives, and cultural diversity, effectively stalling, nullifying, or even reversing civilization progress, in countless occasions. This paper aims to clear the “fog of war” that is covering Yemen and the...... Read more...
Publication created on 06/30/2023 - 10:46 by in NESA
On 6 June, the Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies at the Doha Institute published the book "The Arab Gulf States and Iran: The Roots and Manifestations of Rivalry in the Gulf Regional System" (in Arabic). The book includes thirteen studies, all of which focus on the... Read more...
Publication created on 06/06/2023 - 10:28 by in NESA
The NESA Center February–March 2023 Update focuses on Near East South Asia Region cyber trends.
The update also highlights February through March 2023 NESA Center programs and events, faculty and staff engagements, alumni contributions, and a calendar with upcoming events.
February... Read more...
Publication created on 05/30/2023 - 13:01 by in NESA
On 26 May 2023, the NESA Center published alumnus Dr. Arslan Chikhaoui's piece on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict titled "The Stakes of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict and the Strategic Alliances Mapping."
Read here
About the author
Dr. Arslan...... Read more...
Publication created on 05/18/2023 - 10:59 by in NESA
Overview:
This year USCENTCOM celebrates the 40th anniversary of its establishment; one of its significant tasks is to achieve and enhance security and stability within its area of responsibility (AOR). USCENTCOM AOR includes 21 countries.
The Middle East (ME) region is one of the most important... Read more...
Publication created on 05/08/2023 - 12:16 by in NESA
Subject: Iran-KSA peace talks and its implications for South Asia.
Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the analysis of CSAG on consequences of the Iran-KSA peace talks for South Asia in order to draw pertinent conclusions for US CENTCOM.
Read the full paper here
View other...... Read more...
Publication created on 04/27/2023 - 11:06 by in NESA
Overview:
The strategic importance of the Red Sea basin, together with the Suez Canal, is obvious. Nevertheless, there are reasons to believe that the Red Sea region is a neglected nexus by the US, but not by others such as China, Russia and Iran. This neglect is primarily because it is a...... Read more...
Publication created on 04/26/2023 - 12:27 by in NESA
Subject: Hezbollah’s “Financial Pyramid”.
Purpose: This paper is the third in a series about Hezbollah. The aim is to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of the principle of “following Hezbollah’s money”. It reveals Hezbollah’s financial activities in the region and...... Read more...
Publication created on 04/19/2023 - 11:29 by in NESA
On 18 April 2023, The Muslim World published Volume 113, Issue 1-2 – a special issue featuring a collection of 14 articles on the domestic politics and international relations of Iran.
NESA Center Professor Dr. Gawdat Bahgat's February article "US-Iran Relations: Challenges and...... Read more...
Publication created on 04/03/2023 - 15:34 by in NESA
On 28 March 2023, Ahram Online published NESA Center alumna Eman Ragab's article titled "After the Saudi-Iranian agreement."
"The recent Saudi-Iranian agreement normalising relations between the two countries will bolster Saudi Arabia’s regional role and could lead to other...... Read more...