CENTCOM CSAG Information Paper

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CSAG Information Paper: Weaponization of the Belt and Road Initiative

Subject: Weaponizing of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of the dual-use concept (i.e., civilian-military) of China, focusing on the BRI and its implications for USCENTCOM. Read the full paper here...

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CSAG Information Paper: What is Behind the Humanitarian Policy of the Russian Federation

Subject: What is behind (Концепция гуманитарной политики Российской Федерации за рубежом)? The Concept of the Russian Humanitarian Policy document. Purpose: To present a rational and literal analysis for the contents and timing of the humanitarian abroad policy of the Russian...

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CSAG Information Paper: Xi Jinping's Visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Subject: Xi Jinping’s Visit to the KSA (for China-Saudi Summit, China-GCC Summit and China-Arab States Summit) Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding Chinese Leader Xi Jinping’s visit to the KSA and its implications for US/CENTCOM. Read the full paper here...

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CSAG Information Paper: Threat Potential of ISIS in the CENTCOM AOR

Subject: Analysis of the threat potential of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in the CENTCOM AOR. Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the CSAG’s analysis of the ‘threat from ISIS’ within CENTCOM AOR to formulate pragmatic recommendations for decision-making. Read...

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CSAG Information Paper: How Iran is Benefiting from Strategic Competition

Subject: How Iran is benefiting from the concept of Strategic Competition. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Iran’s position within the U.S. concept of Strategic Competition. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic Analysis Group (...

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CSAG Information Paper: Hezbollah – IRGC’s Main Coordinating Tool in Middle East

Subject: Hezbollah – IRGC’s main coordinating tool in the Middle East. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Hezbollah as the main coordinator for Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) actions in the ME. It highlights Hezbollah’s regional activities,...

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CSAG Information Paper: The Earthquake – Catalyst for Dynamic Change in Syria

Subject: The Earthquake – Catalyst for dynamic change in Syria. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s summary analysis of the geopolitical and military evolution of the main actors in Syria following the February 2023 earthquake. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM...

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CSAG Information Paper: "The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus"

Subject: The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s perspective on the current challenges in the Red Sea region. It focuses on the long-lasting phenomenon of regional stability and provides arguments on the possibility of disrupting the status quo, as well as...

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CSAG Information Paper: "China’s Approach to the Red Sea States"

Subject: China’s Approach to the Red Sea States. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of China’s Approach to the Red Sea States, including the “5-No Approach” to the African countries. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Hezbollah’s 'Financial Pyramid'”

Subject: Hezbollah’s “Financial Pyramid”. Purpose: This paper is the third in a series about Hezbollah. The aim is to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of the principle of “following Hezbollah’s money”. It reveals Hezbollah’s financial activities in the region and...

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CSAG Information Paper: "The Bear, the Dragon, or the Eagle: Who Will Win in Sudan?"

Subject: Analysis of the current situation in Sudan. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis regarding the on-going situation in Sudan. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) Information Papers here View all CSAG...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Iran-KSA Peace Talks and its Implications for South Asia"

Subject: Iran-KSA peace talks and its implications for South Asia. Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the analysis of CSAG on consequences of the Iran-KSA peace talks for South Asia in order to draw pertinent conclusions for US CENTCOM. Read the full paper here View other...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Capt. America vs Capt. Agon (The Billion-Dollar Bargaining Chip for the Syrian Republic of Captagon)"

Subject: Capt. America vs Capt. Agon (The Billion-Dollar Bargaining Chip for the Syrian Republic of Captagon) Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding how the Captagon drug industry in Syria affects the region and what the US/CENTCOM could do to consolidate its...

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CSAG Information Paper: "China and Russia: Competition for Afghanistan"

Subject: China and Russia: Competition for Afghanistan (AFG) Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present CSAG’s analysis of competition between Russia and China for agreements and strategies for the Central Asian Heartland. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Pirates of the Middle East Gulfs"

Subject: Pirates of the Middle East Gulfs Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding how Iran is using a calculated provocative approach, to enhance their bargaining power by creating leverage during negotiations, to achieve what is in Iran’s best interest. Read the...

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CSAG Information Paper: "The Quran Desecration and its Implications – Perspectives of Partners"

Subject: The Quran Desecration and its Implications – Perspectives of Partners Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding the current incidents of Quran burning, why it matters, possible reasons, its implications, and the perspective of partners. Read the full...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Chinese-brokered Iran-KSA Détente, 'A Game-Changer or a Mirage?'”

Subject: Chinese-brokered Iran-KSA Détente, “A Game-Changer or a Mirage?” Purpose: To present CSAG’s analysis of the recent rapprochement between Iran and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) brokered by China. Introduction: The recent diplomatic agreement between Iran and KSA in March 2023 is...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Deir ez-Zor: Critical Juncture in the Process Towards Syria’s Normalization"

Subject: Deir ez-Zor: Critical Juncture in the Process Towards Syria’s Normalization Purpose: To present CSAG’s analysis of the strategic significance of Deir ez-Zor in shaping the future of Syria. It reveals the growing interest of various actors operating in the region and their efforts...

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CSAG Information Paper: "ISIS Strategic Communication is Derailed"

Subject: ISIS Strategic Communication is Derailed. Purpose: An analysis of whether ISIS has changed its strategic communication (SC) messaging by purposefully decreasing its presence in mass media and social media, as a strategy, or whether ISIS has just adapted its SC approach to current...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Is CENTCOM Prescribing the ‘Suitable Medicine’ to Deter Iran?"

Subject: Is CENTCOM Prescribing the ‘Suitable Medicine’ to Deter Iran? Purpose: To present CSAG analysis of the recent deployment of additional US troops and assets in the Middle East (ME) to deter Iran, within the context of the current strategic and operational environment, and to draw...

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