CENTCOM CSAG Paper

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CSAG Information Paper: Weaponization of the Belt and Road Initiative

Subject: Weaponizing of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of the dual-use concept (i.e., civilian-military) of China, focusing on the BRI and its implications for USCENTCOM. Read the full paper here...

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CSAG Information Paper: What is Behind the Humanitarian Policy of the Russian Federation

Subject: What is behind (Концепция гуманитарной политики Российской Федерации за рубежом)? The Concept of the Russian Humanitarian Policy document. Purpose: To present a rational and literal analysis for the contents and timing of the humanitarian abroad policy of the Russian...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: Weaponizing the Belt and Road Initiative

Overview: In October 2012, Professor Wang Jisi was the first Chinese scholar to speak about the need for China to revitalize the three Silk Roads to Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Central Asia. One year later, China’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative became prominent. President Xi Jinping, in a...

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CSAG Information Paper: Xi Jinping's Visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Subject: Xi Jinping’s Visit to the KSA (for China-Saudi Summit, China-GCC Summit and China-Arab States Summit) Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding Chinese Leader Xi Jinping’s visit to the KSA and its implications for US/CENTCOM. Read the full paper here...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: The Prospect of Cooperation and Integration among Central Asian States

Overview: In recent years, regional cooperation has been promoted in Central Asia, and the trend of regionalization and regionalism is emerging. Regionalization can be described as a spontaneous bottom-up process. In contrast, regionalism is defined as the political will (hence ‘ism’ is attached...

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CSAG Information Paper: Threat Potential of ISIS in the CENTCOM AOR

Subject: Analysis of the threat potential of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in the CENTCOM AOR. Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the CSAG’s analysis of the ‘threat from ISIS’ within CENTCOM AOR to formulate pragmatic recommendations for decision-making. Read...

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CSAG Information Paper: How Iran is Benefiting from Strategic Competition

Subject: How Iran is benefiting from the concept of Strategic Competition. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Iran’s position within the U.S. concept of Strategic Competition. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic Analysis Group (...

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CSAG Information Paper: Hezbollah – IRGC’s Main Coordinating Tool in Middle East

Subject: Hezbollah – IRGC’s main coordinating tool in the Middle East. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Hezbollah as the main coordinator for Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) actions in the ME. It highlights Hezbollah’s regional activities,...

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CSAG Information Paper: The Earthquake – Catalyst for Dynamic Change in Syria

Subject: The Earthquake – Catalyst for dynamic change in Syria. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s summary analysis of the geopolitical and military evolution of the main actors in Syria following the February 2023 earthquake. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: The Role of Regional Powers in the Contemporary Complex Geo-Political Environment

Overview: Since the late 20th century, the term ‘regional power’ in international relations has been used for a sovereign state that exercises significant power within a given geographical region. There is a broad consensus that a necessary condition for regional ‘power hood’ is that these...

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CSAG Information Paper: "The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus"

Subject: The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s perspective on the current challenges in the Red Sea region. It focuses on the long-lasting phenomenon of regional stability and provides arguments on the possibility of disrupting the status quo, as well as...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: Türkiye's Role in the USCENTCOM AOR

Overview: Türkiye has quite a unique position in many perspectives e.g., geographically, geopolitically and geoeconomically. It lies at the intersection of Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia (and Africa) with ties to all of them; it has a land connection to the CENTCOM AOR, and it controls...

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CSAG Information Paper: "China’s Approach to the Red Sea States"

Subject: China’s Approach to the Red Sea States. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of China’s Approach to the Red Sea States, including the “5-No Approach” to the African countries. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Hezbollah’s 'Financial Pyramid'”

Subject: Hezbollah’s “Financial Pyramid”. Purpose: This paper is the third in a series about Hezbollah. The aim is to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of the principle of “following Hezbollah’s money”. It reveals Hezbollah’s financial activities in the region and...

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CSAG Information Paper: "The Bear, the Dragon, or the Eagle: Who Will Win in Sudan?"

Subject: Analysis of the current situation in Sudan. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis regarding the on-going situation in Sudan. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) Information Papers here View all CSAG...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: "The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus"

Overview: The strategic importance of the Red Sea basin, together with the Suez Canal, is obvious. Nevertheless, there are reasons to believe that the Red Sea region is a neglected nexus by the US, but not by others such as China, Russia and Iran. This neglect is primarily because it is a...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Iran-KSA Peace Talks and its Implications for South Asia"

Subject: Iran-KSA peace talks and its implications for South Asia. Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the analysis of CSAG on consequences of the Iran-KSA peace talks for South Asia in order to draw pertinent conclusions for US CENTCOM. Read the full paper here View other...

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CSAG Strategy Paper: "CENTCOM Smart Power in the Middle East"

Overview: This year USCENTCOM celebrates the 40th anniversary of its establishment; one of its significant tasks is to achieve and enhance security and stability within its area of responsibility (AOR). USCENTCOM AOR includes 21 countries. The Middle East (ME) region is one of the most...

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CSAG Information Paper: "Capt. America vs Capt. Agon (The Billion-Dollar Bargaining Chip for the Syrian Republic of Captagon)"

Subject: Capt. America vs Capt. Agon (The Billion-Dollar Bargaining Chip for the Syrian Republic of Captagon) Purpose: This paper aims to present the CSAG’s analysis regarding how the Captagon drug industry in Syria affects the region and what the US/CENTCOM could do to consolidate its...

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CSAG Information Paper: "China and Russia: Competition for Afghanistan"

Subject: China and Russia: Competition for Afghanistan (AFG) Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present CSAG’s analysis of competition between Russia and China for agreements and strategies for the Central Asian Heartland. Read the full paper here View other USCENTCOM Combined...

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