By LTC Kashif Ehtisham, PAK Army (CSAG/CCJ5) and LTC René Berendsen, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5)
September 12, 2023, NESA Center for Strategic Studies
Subject: Chinese-brokered Iran-KSA Détente, “A Game-Changer or a Mirage?”
Purpose: To present CSAG’s analysis of the recent rapprochement between Iran and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) brokered by China.
Introduction: The recent diplomatic agreement between Iran and KSA in March 2023 is a significant development in the ME. The agreement could herald lasting regional stability, with once bitter rivals finding a common ground, conflict resolution and enhanced cooperation through dialogue and diplomacy. In addition, it marks a shift in power dynamics and the emergence of actors in the region that could challenge the status of the US in the ME and beyond.
The opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of a number of international officers within the Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) and do not necessarily reflect the views of United States Central Command, not of the nations represented within the CSAG or any other governmental agency.